WILDLIFE STRIKE RISK INTELLIGENCE
See it coming.
Before it strikes.
Avigilance is the first proactive forecasting platform built for aviation wildlife strike risk. We fuse weather, migration, and operational signals into safety-grade intelligence — so airlines, airports, regulators and insurers can act before risk becomes incident.
BUILDING WITH A LATIN AMERICAN FLAG CARRIER · REGULATOR PILOT IN PROGRESS · AVIATION-GRADE METHODOLOGY
Illustrative · sources: NOAA · IDEAM · eBird · OpenSky
319K+
RECORDED CIVIL AIRCRAFT WILDLIFE STRIKES
FAA NWSD · 1990–2024
~80%
ESTIMATED UNDER-REPORTING OF GLOBAL STRIKES
Dolbeer et al. · FAA estimate
30+
OPERATIONAL & ENVIRONMENTAL DATA SIGNALS FUSED
Avigilance source registry · 2026
02 / APPROACH
Built the way safety teams think.
Avigilance is engineered for stakeholders who cannot adopt what they cannot interrogate. Every output is traceable, explainable, and bounded by what the data actually supports.
Evidence-first.
Every forecast is traceable to its source signals. Weather, species occurrence, migration, radar, operational and incident data — each contribution to a risk score is auditable. No claim without a reference.
Explainable.
Confidence scores and primary drivers are surfaced alongside every output. Safety officers, regulators and underwriters see not just what the model predicts, but why — and how strongly.
Bounded.
We document what the platform does not know. Reporting bias, coverage gaps, regional uncertainty — the limits of the data are surfaced, not hidden. Trust depends on honesty about the edges.
03 / PLATFORM
From reactive reporting to proactive foresight.
01 / Forecast
Predict, don't just record.
AI-driven forecasting of wildlife strike risk by location, time window, altitude band and operational context — produced before the flight, not after the incident.
02 / Fuse
Multi-signal intelligence.
Weather, species movement, radar data, migration patterns, historical incidents and operational context — fused into a single, explainable risk picture.
03 / Act
Safety-grade outputs.
Confidence scoring, transparent drivers and audit-ready reasoning. Designed to fit existing SMS, dispatch and regulatory workflows — not replace them.
04 / METHODOLOGY
Speaks the language of safety.
Avigilance integrates with the analytical frameworks aviation safety professionals already use. The bowtie below shows where the platform reinforces existing barriers — gold indicates where Avigilance intelligence augments your prevention and mitigation controls.
Gold barriers indicate Avigilance-augmented controls · Standard ICAO/ARMS bowtie convention
05 / THE ECOLOGY MOAT
The AI is only as good as the ecology it reads.
Radar sees a target. Avigilance knows the species, its behaviour and why it is on your airfield today — so the forecast changes when the world changes, and you can see exactly why.
Live sensitivity · change a variable, watch the risk move
What if · Counterfactual Scenarios
SyntheticCompare the modelled day against changes to the controllable variables. Risk never reaches zero — the barn swallow dusk pulse is an irreducible migration signal.
Baseline peak
2.25
HIGHScenario peak
1.98
ELEVATEDPeak change
-12%
HIGH → ELEVATED
Cutting at dawn moves the insect flush to the morning, when its decay has largely passed by the evening departures. The afternoon egret peak dissolves — but the day still peaks ELEVATED at the 18:00 barn swallow dusk pulse, which no mowing decision can remove.
The data flywheel · accuracy compounds with data
The Data Flywheel
IllustrativeIllustrative only. This is not a validated hit-rate — it shows the expected shape of accuracy improving as ecological and strike data accumulate. The real backtest will be published once the model is trained on Avianca Bitacora / UAEAC records.
Illustrative only — not a validated backtest. Real hit-rate follows training on BÃtacora / UAEAC records.
05 / BUILT FOR
For the people accountable for what happens next.
SAFETY OFFICER
For the team building the next SMS review with evidence that holds up at the Safety Review Board.
CIVIL AVIATION REGULATOR
For the authority overseeing national wildlife hazard programmes, with traceable methodology and audit-ready outputs.
AVIATION UNDERWRITER
For the team pricing exposure, with structured risk signals at airport, route and seasonal resolution.
YOUR INPUT SHAPES THE PLATFORM
Tell us what would make this useful
Three quick questions. Your answers help us build a system that works for the people who use it.
06 / GET ACCESS
Be among the first to see what's coming.
We're working with selected aviation, regulatory and insurance partners during our pilot phase. Register your interest to receive updates and early access invitations.
BUILT ON
DATA SOURCES INCLUDE